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RPG» Forums » Community » The Tavern

Subject: 2019 Kickstarter Dice Contest! rss

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Kickstarter Dice_Contest
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Welcome to the 2019 edition of the Dice Kickstarter contest!
Oh man, 5 years of this random insanity!


How do I get in on this? Give an estimate on how many total Dice centric Kickstarter projects there will be the listed year, duplicate entries will need to be re-guessed, the first user to guess a number has priority!

FAQ:
What do you mean "Dice centric"? I mean dice, as in items used to generate a random result of some sort. Not dice towers, not dice bags, boxes, cats, paintings.

What if there's a tie? Ties are handled thusly: Ya' split the pot.

Side Bets? Yes, side bets! There are 2 parts to the side bet, there is a 4 buy in, you give an estimate on how many SUCCESSFUL projects and how much cash will be raised on those successful projects.

I want to fund the prize pool please! Tip this post, or send it to the user:
Kickstarter Dice_Contest
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Over funding of the side bets are used to pay for things on this account, such as over text, uberbadge, booze, et al. Frivolous things.

Rules:
d10-1The prize pot will go to the person who guesses the closest number of dice Kickstarter projects there will be in the listed year.
d10-2I will be using the AVERAGE between two guesses to determine a winner if the value falls between two semi-evenly.
d10-3This will include any failed, successful, restarted and cancelled projects.
d10-4Some projects may be "iffy" as far as whether they qualify, I will generally make a judgement call, sometimes if I can decide I'll put it up for a vote.

See the post 2 below for Side bets:
Previous contest threads:
2015 Dice Contest
2016 Dice Contest
2017 Dice Contest
2018 Dice Contest

2019 Kickstarter geeklist: Kickstarter RPG Projects - 2019

Kickstarter History:

2018 Dice Kickstarter project summary:
Total Projects = 79 / Successful = 56 / Total Funding (USD) = $3,076,651.00 (will update at the conclusion of the last KS)

2017 Dice Kickstarter project summary:
Total Projects = 52 / Successful = 44 / Total Funding (USD) = $932,847.00

2016 Dice Kickstarter project summary:
Total Projects = 58 / Successful = 47 / Total Funding (USD) = $1,293,065.00

2015 Dice Kickstarter project summary:
Total Projects = 84 / Successful = 59 / Total Funding (USD) = $1,764,117.00

2014 Dice Kickstarter project summary:
Total Projects = 29 / Successful = 22 / Total Funding (USD) = $416,905.00

2013 Dice Kickstarter project summary:
Total Projects = 32 / Successful = 18 / Total Funding (USD) = $683,326.00


Current prize pot: 650.01 !!
(If you wish to help fund the contest, tip this post)
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Jason
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Arnold
Missouri
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Dice Enthusiasts
adularia25 36
Mavis101 58
dragontrainer 62
fastfox 66
Wired_Wolf 69
chuckdee68 72
landovers 73
Mulligans 76
ctimmins 78
pikkusiili2000 81
bxrrr 83
WalkingDeadMann 85
jasri 86
pakos13 88
cocuzzi 90
brumcg 95
bifford 102


Projects to-date (02/18/2019): 1 4

d10-0d10-1 Year of the Unicorn RPG Polyhedral Dice Sets
d10-0d10-2 Deco Dice - A collection of elegant polyhedral dice
d10-0d10-3 LOPOLY Dice - The Dragon, Skeleton and Wizard
d10-0d10-4 Poly-Orcs Metal Dice Set by Riot Dice
d10-0d10-5 Handmade Zodiac Pure Gemstone Dice
d10-0d10-6 CNC Machined Precision Wood Dice: Purple Heart and More
d10-0d10-7 EdgeElite® Six-Sides Unleashed
d10-0d10-8 Ancient Dice of Kaldor
d10-0d10-9 Dice Coins 2019
d10-1d10-0 The "Spirit Of" Dice Range
d10-1d10-1 Ice Cream Dice
d10-1d10-2 Divination Dice Set (Relaunch) by DougOutCrafts
d10-1d10-3 Scrying Dice: A Tabletop RPG Runic Accessory™
d10-1d10-4 Hidden Gem Dice
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Jason
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Side Bets (tip to this post)
Rules: 4 buy in
--Side bets are 50/50 split between closest to Successful projects and the funds raised (leveraging the AVERAGE of the guesses).
--Estimates in whole numbers and dollars please!
--Then make your best educated guess on the following two questions:

1. How many successful projects?
-----Currently: 5 Projects
2. How much money will be raised?
-----Currently: $147,685


Prize pot size: 56

User Success |User Funding
adularia25 24 |adularia25 $800,000
Mavis101 41 |chuckdee68 $1,100,000
dragontrainer 46 |Mavis101 $1,350,000
Mulligans 50 |Mulligans $1,834,120
Walkingdeadman 53 |fastfox $2,109,876
Wired_Wolf 55 |cocuzzi $2,222,222
fastfox 54 |Walkingdeadman $3,000,000
jasri 62 |jasir $3,434,343
cocuzzi 90 |dragontrainer $5,841,529
ctimmins 61 |ctimmins $2,924,600
bxrrr 63 |bxrrr $3,230,000
brumcg 65 |brumcg $3,445,513
chuckdee68 51 |Wired_Wolf $1,250,750
Bifford 84 |Bifford $3,777,333
USER ## |USER $#,###,###


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Jason
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Arnold
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Will be accepting estimates to Jan 31st since I got a late start on this.

For myself:

Projects: 69 (yes, dangit, I'm claiming that one)

Successful: 55

Funding: $1,250,750
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Jason
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Arnold
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as a side note, the contest will also take prize funding up until the end of January as well. I ended up with extra and not sure where it came from as some generous souls added to it over the course of the year, so kinda lost track of where it came from and so on.

Any "over funding" will go to the KSDice account upgrades!
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Caroline Berg
United States
Washington
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...124 to run fleeing from the mountain. ...125 to use a rope to climb the cliff. ...126 to quickly cast "summon stairs." ...127 to dodge under the falling rocks.
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I have been sooo wrong with all my predictions before... so why not go in again?

Total: 36
Successful: 24
Funding: 800,000
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Chuck Dee
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Projects: 72
Successful: 51
Funding: 1,100,000
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Clark Timmins
United States
West Jordan
Utah
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So stop your cheap comment, 'Cause we know what we feel...
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I'm #2
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Projects: 78
Successful: 61
Funding: 2,924,600

Edit: Derived from statistics mb
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Alex Bokser
Israel
Pardes Hanna
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Guess What?
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You Rock.
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Total: 83
Successful: 63
Funding: 3,230,000$
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whiskey tango foxtrot
United States
Ohio
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One Overtext To Rule Them All
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One Overtext To Rule Them All
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Total: 90
Successful: 70
Funding: $2,222,222.22
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Sören Kohlmeyer
Germany
Halle (Westfalen)
NRW
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You'll always stay the cat on my shoulder!
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Total: 66
Successful: 55
Funding: 2,109,876
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Mavis
England
A Fine City
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Total: 58
Successful: 41
Funding: $1,350,000
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The Minister of Sinister
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Pennsylvania
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Hey! Stop poking me!
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Calculating...

Total: 76
Successful: 50
Funding: $1,834,120
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Pantelis Pesmatzoglou
Greece
Athens
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Projects: 88
Successful: 64
Funding: 2,308,013
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Jonas
Germany
Bovenden
Niedersachsen
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so many plans...
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N.K.Jemisin's "The Fifth Season" is awesome and fantastic.
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Projects: 86
Successful: 62
Funding: 3,434,343
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Bruce McGeorge
United States
Lawrenceburg
Indiana
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Hey you kids, get off my Avatar!
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Projects: 95
Successful: 62
Funding: $3,445,513
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Bruce McGeorge
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Indiana
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Hey you kids, get off my Avatar!
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I think Jonas and I used similar methodologies for Successful and Funding! wow
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Dr. UDO
United States
Chandler
AZ
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[This space intentionally left blank]
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Projects: 81
Succesful: 52
Funding: $2,545,001
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Sam K
United States
Arizona
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Total projects: 85
Successful: 53
Funding: $3,000,000
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Jonas
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so many plans...
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N.K.Jemisin's "The Fifth Season" is awesome and fantastic.
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brumcg wrote:
I think Jonas and I used similar methodologies for Successful and Funding! wow


Didn't really use a methodology for anything, other than "eh, sounds good enough".
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Leandro Couto
Brazil
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Projects: 73
Successful: 58
Funding: 2,000,000
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Andy W
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Wheatfield
New York
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Object
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  • 1405747. dragontrainer
  • 1custom31{60;61;62;63;64;65;66;67;68;69;70;71;72;73;74;75;76;77;78;79;80;81;82;83;84;85;86;87;88;89;90} =
  • (62) =
  • 62
  • Total Projects:
  • Thu Jan 17, 2019 9:49 pm
  • [+]
  • 1405748. dragontrainer
  • 1custom26{45;46;47;48;49;50;51;52;53;54;55;56;57;58;59;60;61;62;63;64;65;66;67;68;69;70} =
  • (46) =
  • 46
  • Successful Projects:
  • Thu Jan 17, 2019 9:51 pm
  • [+]
  • 1405749. dragontrainer
  • 1d5*1000000+1d10z*100000+1d10z*10000+1d10z*1000+1d10z*100+1d10z*10+1d10z*1 =
  • (5) * 1000000 + (8) * 100000 + (4) * 10000 + (1) * 1000 + (5) * 100 + (2) * 10 + (9) * 1 =
  • 5841529
  • Total Funding: $
  • Thu Jan 17, 2019 9:56 pm
Jason
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a'right, all, i'm still alive. Sorry for the late late update.

I need a couple new "successful" guess from folks:

fastfox, Bruce, and bxrrr, please choose a different 'success' estimate, or bribe the person who guessed that number first. Or some other more "discrete, and deniable" method.

Looks like we're good for the overall project numbers.

Also, if you've not paid into the "sidebets" and are making a sidebet, please do so! It is 4 GG for that portion.
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Alex Bokser
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Am I good now, Jason?
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Jason
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bxrrr wrote:
Am I good now, Jason?


Wellllll...I'm afraid not, 62 was chosen by a couple folks already, looks like 63, or 54 are open (for now!).
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